Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.