Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.