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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leyton Orient in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leyton Orient.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
60.9% ( 0.39) | 22.16% ( -0.29) | 16.94% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 48.85% ( 0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.26% ( 1.01) | 48.74% ( -1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.15% ( 0.91) | 70.85% ( -0.9) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.46% ( 0.47) | 15.54% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.53% ( 0.88) | 44.47% ( -0.87) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.84% ( 0.47) | 42.16% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.43% ( 0.4) | 78.57% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.17% Total : 60.89% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.16% | 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 16.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |