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Championship header 2

League Two
Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Carlisle United

Doncaster
2 - 1
Carlisle

Maxwell (5'), Hurst (67')
Seaman (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dennis (87')
Harris (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 4-3 Rochdale
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Carlisle
Thursday, December 29 at 7pm in League Two

We said: Doncaster Rovers 0-2 Carlisle United

 Doncaster have been showing inconsistent signs all season, and that is why we do not expect them to follow up their midweek victory with another three points on Sunday. Not only that, but Carlisle have emerged as one of League Two's better teams this season, particularly away from home, and they are very capable of recording a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawCarlisle United
32.07%26.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 40.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 50.27% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.14% (0.0039999999999978 0)54.86% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.16%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.17%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51% (0.0040000000000049 0)61.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 32.07%
    Carlisle United 40.95%
    Draw 26.98%
Doncaster RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 5.51%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.44%
1-3 @ 3.8%
0-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.95%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Carlisle

Doncaster Rovers
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Carlisle United
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
3-0
Doncaster
Guy (44'), Stretton (53', 66')

Clayton (26')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
Carlisle
1-2
Doncaster
Mellish (78')
Kayode (43')
Whiteman (32', 40')
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-1
Doncaster
Adams (34'), Mason (85' og.)
Joyce (18'), Gillesphey (55')
Rowe (90')
Blair (56'), Lawlor (82')
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Doncaster
2-2
Carlisle
Rowe (18'), Marquis (44')
Marquis (93')
Miller (15'), Ibehre (79')
Grainger (49')
Apr 9, 2013 7.45pm
Doncaster
0-2
Carlisle

Furman (37'), Spurr (72'), Griffin (78')
Noble (35', 86')
Noble (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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