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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Forest Green Rovers

Newport
4 - 2
Forest Green

Evans (60', 63'), Payne (69'), Delaney (84')
Bogle (18'), Evans (18'), Payne (50')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Delaney (2' og.), Stevens (33')
McAllister (16'), Morton (38'), Jones (41'), McCann (45'), Moore-Taylor (75')
Jones (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Newport
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-0 Gillingham
Friday, December 22 at 7pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-0 Forest Green Rovers

 Neither side have a ton of creativity or imagination, but Forest Green have a lot less quality in the attacking third, and we believe Newport will eventually wear them down and win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawForest Green Rovers
47.62% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 25.29% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 27.09% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)50.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)72.3% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)21.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)54.03% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.07% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34% (0.0039999999999978 0)69.66% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 47.62%
    Forest Green Rovers 27.09%
    Draw 25.28%
Newport CountyDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.62%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 27.09%

How you voted: Newport vs Forest Green

Newport County
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Forest Green Rovers
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Forest Green
0-3
Newport

Taylor (67'), Robertson (74'), Deeney (90+1'), Robertson (90+1')
Robertson (90+1')
Evans (1', 25'), Lewis (88' pen.)
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Newport
1-2
Forest Green
Evans (90+2')
Stevenson (69'), Fiabema (79')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Newport
1-1
Forest Green
Azaz (3')
Lewis (32'), Bennett (38'), Cooper (46'), Clarke (69'), Street (84')
Clarke (84')
Aitchison (55')
Matt (38')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Forest Green
2-0
Newport
Stevens (33', 61')

Pask (39'), Cain (64'), Street (68')
May 23, 2021 6.30pm
Forest Green
4-3
Newport
Adams (7'), Collins (8'), Cadden (53'), Matt (87')
Collins (41')
Ellison (70'), Labadie (76'), Maynard (119')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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