MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:01:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Forest Green Rovers

Newport
4 - 2
Forest Green

Evans (60', 63'), Payne (69'), Delaney (84')
Bogle (18'), Evans (18'), Payne (50')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Delaney (2' og.), Stevens (33')
McAllister (16'), Morton (38'), Jones (41'), McCann (45'), Moore-Taylor (75')
Jones (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Newport
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-0 Forest Green Rovers

Neither side have a ton of creativity or imagination, but Forest Green have a lot less quality in the attacking third, and we believe Newport will eventually wear them down and win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawForest Green Rovers
47.62% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 25.29% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 27.09% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)50.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)72.3% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)21.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)54.03% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.07% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34% (0.0039999999999978 0)69.66% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 47.62%
    Forest Green Rovers 27.09%
    Draw 25.28%
Newport CountyDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.62%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 27.09%

How you voted: Newport vs Forest Green

Newport County
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Forest Green Rovers
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Forest Green
0-3
Newport

Taylor (67'), Robertson (74'), Deeney (90+1'), Robertson (90+1')
Robertson (90+1')
Evans (1', 25'), Lewis (88' pen.)
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Newport
1-2
Forest Green
Evans (90+2')
Stevenson (69'), Fiabema (79')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Newport
1-1
Forest Green
Azaz (3')
Lewis (32'), Bennett (38'), Cooper (46'), Clarke (69'), Street (84')
Clarke (84')
Aitchison (55')
Matt (38')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Forest Green
2-0
Newport
Stevens (33', 61')

Pask (39'), Cain (64'), Street (68')
May 23, 2021 6.30pm
Forest Green
4-3
Newport
Adams (7'), Collins (8'), Cadden (53'), Matt (87')
Collins (41')
Ellison (70'), Labadie (76'), Maynard (119')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!