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Championship header 2

League Two
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Newport County

Mansfield
2 - 0
Newport

Keillor-Dunn (4', 51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bogle (33'), Coughlan (34'), Bennett (58'), Morris (61'), Clarke (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Mansfield
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Mansfield Town 3-1 Newport County

 With two clean sheets in succession, Newport will have confidence that they can leave Field Mill with at least a share of the spoils. However, we cannot back against Mansfield versus the majority of opponents in this league, resulting in us predicting a hard-earned triumph for Clough's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNewport County
56.66% (1.007 1.01) 22.39% (-0.168 -0.17) 20.95% (-0.841 -0.84)
Both teams to score 55.19% (-0.67899999999999 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (-0.313 -0.31)43.83% (0.312 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (-0.306 -0.31)66.21% (0.30499999999999 0.3)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (0.226 0.23)15.27% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.04% (0.428 0.43)43.96% (-0.428 -0.43)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (-0.98 -0.98)34.86% (0.979 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.4% (-1.045 -1.05)71.59% (1.044 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 56.66%
    Newport County 20.95%
    Draw 22.38%
Mansfield TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 10% (0.212 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.274 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.89% (0.216 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.122 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.95%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Newport

Mansfield Town
50.0%
Draw
41.7%
Newport County
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Newport
1-2
Mansfield
Wildig (86')
Boateng (24'), Gale (73')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Mansfield
0-0
Newport
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Newport
1-1
Mansfield
Telford (82' pen.)
Baker-Richardson (74')
Pask (68' og.)
Hawkins (74'), Quinn (83'), McLaughlin (84')
O'Toole (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Mansfield
2-1
Newport
Maris (7'), Clarke (43')
Perch (30'), Gordon (68'), Hawkins (74')
Willmott (9')
Abraham (21'), Missilou (33'), Haynes (72')
Apr 9, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 41
Mansfield
1-1
Newport
Sinclair (84')
Lapslie (57')
Labadie (75')
Lewis (81'), Labadie (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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