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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Newport County

Mansfield
2 - 0
Newport

Keillor-Dunn (4', 51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bogle (33'), Coughlan (34'), Bennett (58'), Morris (61'), Clarke (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Mansfield
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Mansfield Town 3-1 Newport County

 With two clean sheets in succession, Newport will have confidence that they can leave Field Mill with at least a share of the spoils. However, we cannot back against Mansfield versus the majority of opponents in this league, resulting in us predicting a hard-earned triumph for Clough's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNewport County
56.66% (1.007 1.01) 22.39% (-0.168 -0.17) 20.95% (-0.841 -0.84)
Both teams to score 55.19% (-0.67899999999999 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (-0.313 -0.31)43.83% (0.312 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (-0.306 -0.31)66.21% (0.30499999999999 0.3)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (0.226 0.23)15.27% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.04% (0.428 0.43)43.96% (-0.428 -0.43)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (-0.98 -0.98)34.86% (0.979 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.4% (-1.045 -1.05)71.59% (1.044 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 56.66%
    Newport County 20.95%
    Draw 22.38%
Mansfield TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 10% (0.212 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.274 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.89% (0.216 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.122 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.95%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Newport

Mansfield Town
50.0%
Draw
41.7%
Newport County
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Newport
1-2
Mansfield
Wildig (86')
Boateng (24'), Gale (73')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Mansfield
0-0
Newport
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Newport
1-1
Mansfield
Telford (82' pen.)
Baker-Richardson (74')
Pask (68' og.)
Hawkins (74'), Quinn (83'), McLaughlin (84')
O'Toole (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Mansfield
2-1
Newport
Maris (7'), Clarke (43')
Perch (30'), Gordon (68'), Hawkins (74')
Willmott (9')
Abraham (21'), Missilou (33'), Haynes (72')
Apr 9, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 41
Mansfield
1-1
Newport
Sinclair (84')
Lapslie (57')
Labadie (75')
Lewis (81'), Labadie (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall22154341192249
2AFC Wimbledon22114733181537
3Notts County22107535241137
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310763227537
5Port Vale2310762724337
6Grimsby Town23121103334-137
7Salford City2210662619736
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe229942619736
9Chesterfield2397737271034
10Bradford CityBradford229762824434
11MK Dons219483429531
12Bromley2271053126531
13Gillingham2293102221130
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham238693436-230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2251252623327
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood216962726127
17BarrowBarrow227692122-127
18Newport CountyNewport2275102938-926
19Tranmere RoversTranmere215791630-1422
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2364131935-1622
21Swindon TownSwindon2349102837-921
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2147102738-1119
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2246121734-1718
24Morecambe2345142039-1917
> League Two Full Table


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