Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
