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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
35.73% ( 0) | 26.7% ( 0.01) | 37.57% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.87% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.85% ( -0.05) | 53.15% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.28% ( -0.04) | 74.72% ( 0.04) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.48% ( -0.03) | 28.52% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.7% ( -0.03) | 64.3% ( 0.03) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.57% ( -0.03) | 27.43% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.09% ( -0.04) | 62.91% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 37.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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