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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Newport County win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
23.57% ( -0.71) | 25.43% ( 0.8) | 51% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.09% ( -3.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.42% ( -3.8) | 53.58% ( 3.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.91% ( -3.3) | 75.09% ( 3.3) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.16% ( -2.74) | 37.83% ( 2.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.39% ( -2.76) | 74.61% ( 2.76) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.97% ( -1.55) | 21.03% ( 1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.18% ( -2.47) | 53.81% ( 2.47) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.57% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 1.12) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.45) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 12.4% ( 1.22) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.36) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.44% Total : 51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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