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Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Salford City
2 - 2
Forest Green

Smith (4'), Watson (90+1' pen.)
Watt (21'), Garbutt (41'), Mariappa (72')
Robinson (0'), Mariappa (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McCann (39'), Stevens (70')
Bunker (23'), Inniss (59'), Dabo (88')
Inniss (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Salford City
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Neither team would have expected to be facing relegation trouble at this stage of the season, but that is the reality that both sides face for the time being at least. Despite being unlikely to have a permanent manager in place for this meeting, Salford will sense an opportunity to put some distance between themselves and the bottom two. Forest Green have improved since appointing Deeney as their manager, but they appear out of sorts on the road, and we can see more pain for them in the short-term before potentially escaping relegation by the end of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Salford CityDrawForest Green Rovers
35.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 24.14% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 40.39% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.71% (0.286 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23% (0.371 0.37)41.76% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83% (0.372 0.37)64.16% (-0.37 -0.37)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.191 0.19)23.32% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.276 0.28)57.26% (-0.276 -0.28)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (0.17700000000001 0.18)20.83% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (0.277 0.28)53.51% (-0.275 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 35.46%
    Forest Green Rovers 40.4%
    Draw 24.14%
Salford CityDrawForest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.07% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.55% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 40.4%

How you voted: Salford City vs Forest Green

Salford City
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Forest Green Rovers
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Forest Green
0-2
Salford City

McCann (43'), Robson (72'), Bunker (90')
McAleny (51'), Smith (90+5')
Hendry (17'), Garbutt (71'), Bolton (90+2')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Salford City
1-1
Forest Green
Smith (7')
Vassell (48'), Turnbull (63')
Stevens (53')
Matt (63'), Adams (71')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Forest Green
3-1
Salford City
Cadden (45+1'), Wilson (71'), Aitchison (90+3')
Moore-Taylor (8')
Thomas-Asante (17')
Touray (15'), Elliott (35'), Lund (43')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
Forest Green
0-2
Salford City

Adams (55')
Henderson (38', 77')
Threlkeld (46'), Thomas-Asante (64')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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