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Championship header 2

League Two
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Salford City
2 - 2
Forest Green

Smith (4'), Watson (90+1' pen.)
Watt (21'), Garbutt (41'), Mariappa (72')
Robinson (0'), Mariappa (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McCann (39'), Stevens (70')
Bunker (23'), Inniss (59'), Dabo (88')
Inniss (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Salford City
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

 Neither team would have expected to be facing relegation trouble at this stage of the season, but that is the reality that both sides face for the time being at least. Despite being unlikely to have a permanent manager in place for this meeting, Salford will sense an opportunity to put some distance between themselves and the bottom two. Forest Green have improved since appointing Deeney as their manager, but they appear out of sorts on the road, and we can see more pain for them in the short-term before potentially escaping relegation by the end of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Salford CityDrawForest Green Rovers
35.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 24.14% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 40.39% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.71% (0.286 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23% (0.371 0.37)41.76% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83% (0.372 0.37)64.16% (-0.37 -0.37)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.191 0.19)23.32% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.276 0.28)57.26% (-0.276 -0.28)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (0.17700000000001 0.18)20.83% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (0.277 0.28)53.51% (-0.275 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 35.46%
    Forest Green Rovers 40.4%
    Draw 24.14%
Salford CityDrawForest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.07% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.55% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 40.4%

How you voted: Salford City vs Forest Green

Salford City
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Forest Green Rovers
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Forest Green
0-2
Salford City

McCann (43'), Robson (72'), Bunker (90')
McAleny (51'), Smith (90+5')
Hendry (17'), Garbutt (71'), Bolton (90+2')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Salford City
1-1
Forest Green
Smith (7')
Vassell (48'), Turnbull (63')
Stevens (53')
Matt (63'), Adams (71')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Forest Green
3-1
Salford City
Cadden (45+1'), Wilson (71'), Aitchison (90+3')
Moore-Taylor (8')
Thomas-Asante (17')
Touray (15'), Elliott (35'), Lund (43')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
Forest Green
0-2
Salford City

Adams (55')
Henderson (38', 77')
Threlkeld (46'), Thomas-Asante (64')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Salford City
0-0
Forest Green
Turnbull (18'), Hunter (84')
Cadden (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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