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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Forest Green Rovers

Swindon
2 - 1
Forest Green

Kemp (56', 81')
Hutton (71'), Minturn (90+7'), Young (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (74')
Dabo (15'), Deeney (16'), Jenks (21'), Robson (43'), Bendle (80'), Inniss (87')
Deeney (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 4-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-2 Forest Green Rovers

 Neither side have been particularly sharp over 90 minutes this month, but we believe the visitors will make life difficult for a Swindon side that seem to be their own worst enemies and where frustration appears to be growing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawForest Green Rovers
47.15% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 24.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)44.72% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.92% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.08% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91% (0.010999999999996 0.01)19.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.29% (0.014999999999993 0.01)50.71% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)28.97% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)64.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 47.15%
    Forest Green Rovers 28.65%
    Draw 24.2%
Swindon TownDrawForest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.15%
1-1 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 28.65%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Forest Green
1-2
Swindon
Stevens (14')
Omotoye (13'), Bunker (42'), Kadji (70'), Bernard (72'), Daniels (88')
Bunker (61')
Kemp (47'), Blake-Tracy (90+4')
Kinsella (26'), Blake-Tracy (45+4'), Godwin-Malife (85')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Swindon
2-1
Forest Green
Barry (15'), Payne (40')
Iandolo (36'), Williams (53'), McKirdy (85'), Payne (90+3')
Iandolo (53')
March (69')
Godwin-Malife (13'), Adams (59'), March (63'), Young (82')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 11
Forest Green
0-2
Swindon

Sweeney (45+1'), Matt (45+2')
McKirdy (54'), Simpson (81')
McKirdy (66')
> Preview
Nov 10, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Forest Green
0-1
Swindon

Covil (49')
Broadbent (90+3')
Curran (38')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 37
Swindon
0-2
Forest Green

Doughty (22'), Grant (36')
Stevens (5'), Adams (50')
Dawson (30'), McGinley (73'), (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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