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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Forest Green Rovers

Swindon
2 - 1
Forest Green

Kemp (56', 81')
Hutton (71'), Minturn (90+7'), Young (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (74')
Dabo (15'), Deeney (16'), Jenks (21'), Robson (43'), Bendle (80'), Inniss (87')
Deeney (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 4-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-2 Forest Green Rovers

 Neither side have been particularly sharp over 90 minutes this month, but we believe the visitors will make life difficult for a Swindon side that seem to be their own worst enemies and where frustration appears to be growing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawForest Green Rovers
47.15% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 24.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)44.72% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.92% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.08% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91% (0.010999999999996 0.01)19.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.29% (0.014999999999993 0.01)50.71% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)28.97% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)64.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 47.15%
    Forest Green Rovers 28.65%
    Draw 24.2%
Swindon TownDrawForest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.15%
1-1 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 28.65%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Forest Green
1-2
Swindon
Stevens (14')
Omotoye (13'), Bunker (42'), Kadji (70'), Bernard (72'), Daniels (88')
Bunker (61')
Kemp (47'), Blake-Tracy (90+4')
Kinsella (26'), Blake-Tracy (45+4'), Godwin-Malife (85')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Swindon
2-1
Forest Green
Barry (15'), Payne (40')
Iandolo (36'), Williams (53'), McKirdy (85'), Payne (90+3')
Iandolo (53')
March (69')
Godwin-Malife (13'), Adams (59'), March (63'), Young (82')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 11
Forest Green
0-2
Swindon

Sweeney (45+1'), Matt (45+2')
McKirdy (54'), Simpson (81')
McKirdy (66')
> Preview
Nov 10, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Forest Green
0-1
Swindon

Covil (49')
Broadbent (90+3')
Curran (38')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 37
Swindon
0-2
Forest Green

Doughty (22'), Grant (36')
Stevens (5'), Adams (50')
Dawson (30'), McGinley (73'), (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920
> League Two Full Table


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