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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Salford City

Accrington
3 - 0
Salford City

Whalley (14'), Nolan (33' pen., 40')
Gubbins (17'), Martin (45+3'), Woods (67'), Woods (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Bolton (64'), Tilt (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 0-3 Grimsby Town
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Salford City

Salford City are in desperate need of a positive result here to bring some much-needed positivity to the dressing room, but it is hard to see that happening with the side showing very little to suggest that a comeback in the second half of the season is on the cards. Accrington Stanley will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing a deflated Ammies squad, and we feel they will hand their opponents a fourth consecutive league defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSalford City
46.38% (-0.163 -0.16) 23.78% (0.145 0.15) 29.84% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.75% (-0.496 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (-0.659 -0.66)42.06% (0.661 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.54% (-0.664 -0.66)64.46% (0.666 0.67)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)18.36% (0.325 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.55 -0.55)49.47% (0.552 0.55)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.315 -0.31)26.81% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.41699999999999 -0.42)62.1% (0.418 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 46.38%
    Salford City 29.84%
    Draw 23.78%
Accrington StanleyDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.159 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 46.38%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.26% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.84%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Salford City
1-2
Accrington
Watson (88' pen.)
Garbutt (20'), Tilt (39'), Hendry (89')
Whalley (24'), Andrews (45')
Andrews (35'), Bagueloc'rich (38'), Whalley (87')
Sep 20, 2022 7.30pm
Jan 21, 2020 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Salford City
2-1
Accrington
Burgess (45'), Elliott (49')
Conway (54'), Hogan (83')
Finley (11')
Alese (13'), Finley (35'), Johnson (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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