Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.