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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
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Doncaster Rovers
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Northampton Town

Sutton
1 - 2
Northampton

Wilson (45+3')
Randall (26'), Rowe (50'), Bugiel (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Appere (32'), Pinnock (50')
Brady (27'), Leonard (87'), Hylton (90+3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
31.14% (-0.012 -0.01) 28.3% (0.023 0.02) 40.56% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.12% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)59.95% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.8% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)80.2% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)35.06% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.2% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)71.8% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)28.98% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)64.87% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 31.13%
    Northampton Town 40.56%
    Draw 28.28%
Sutton UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 31.13%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 12.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 40.56%

How you voted: Sutton vs Northampton

Sutton United
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Northampton Town
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Northampton
0-2
Sutton

McWilliams (37'), Rose (38'), Koiki (71'), Flores (85')
Kizzi (41'), Wilson (46')
Bouzanis (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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