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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
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Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Northampton Town

Sutton
1 - 2
Northampton

Wilson (45+3')
Randall (26'), Rowe (50'), Bugiel (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Appere (32'), Pinnock (50')
Brady (27'), Leonard (87'), Hylton (90+3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
31.14% (-0.012 -0.01) 28.3% (0.023 0.02) 40.56% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.12% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)59.95% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.8% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)80.2% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)35.06% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.2% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)71.8% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)28.98% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)64.87% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 31.13%
    Northampton Town 40.56%
    Draw 28.28%
Sutton UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 31.13%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 12.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 40.56%

How you voted: Sutton vs Northampton

Sutton United
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Northampton Town
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Northampton
0-2
Sutton

McWilliams (37'), Rose (38'), Koiki (71'), Flores (85')
Kizzi (41'), Wilson (46')
Bouzanis (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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