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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.27%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Northampton Town |
29.47% (![]() | 28.73% (![]() | 41.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.31% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.1% (![]() | 61.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.33% (![]() | 81.66% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.61% (![]() | 37.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.83% (![]() | 74.16% (![]() |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.76% (![]() | 29.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.81% (![]() | 65.18% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 10.75% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 1.74% Total : 29.47% | 1-1 @ 13.22% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.92% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 13.43% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.27% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 1.52% Total : 41.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 34 | 25 | 63 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 55 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 54 |
4 | Notts County | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 53 |
5 | Port Vale | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 52 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 52 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 49 |
8 | Salford City | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 31 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Chesterfield | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 42 |
11 | Bromley | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
12 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 41 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 41 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 40 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 40 |
16 | MK Dons | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 39 |
17 | Swindon TownSwindon | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 38 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 37 |
19 | Gillingham | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 34 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 33 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 28 |
23 | Morecambe | 31 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
> League Two Full Table |