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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Carlisle United

Swindon
1 - 2
Carlisle

Shade (80')
Wakeling (17'), Austin (58'), Clayton (70'), Shade (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armer (51'), Edmondson (90+6')
Guy (9'), McCalmont (56'), Moxon (76')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
41.94% (-0.184 -0.18) 26.19% (-0.029 -0.03) 31.87% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 52.66% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.23% (0.184 0.18)51.77% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.46% (0.158 0.16)73.53% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)24.43% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)58.87% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.23399999999999 0.23)30.31% (-0.235 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.278 0.28)66.49% (-0.279 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.93%
    Carlisle United 31.87%
    Draw 26.18%
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.87%

How you voted: Swindon vs Carlisle

Swindon Town
0.0%
Draw
60.0%
Carlisle United
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Dennis (45')
Moxon (63')
Wakeling (22')
Reed (18'), MacDonald (90+4')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
0-3
Swindon

Simeu (36')
McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')
Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Hayden (62')
Edmonds-Green (11')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Carlisle
Yates (56'), Fryers (70'), Woolery (90')
Doughty (34'), Lyden (57')
Olomola (52'), Sagaf (92')
Knight-Percival (57')
Carroll (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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