League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Swindon1 - 2Carlisle
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Carlisle United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
41.94% ( -0.18) | 26.19% ( -0.03) | 31.87% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
