MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 00:25:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Swindon Town

Newport
2 - 1
Swindon

Norman (54'), Kavanagh (78')
Clarke (16'), Farquharson (38'), Norman (60'), Townsend (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adeloye (90+1')
Kadji (42')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Newport
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Gillingham
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawSwindon Town
37.7% (1.345 1.35) 26.89% (0.0040000000000013 0) 35.41% (-1.349 -1.35)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)53.94% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)75.39% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (0.76900000000001 0.77)27.73% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (0.977 0.98)63.3% (-0.977 -0.98)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.842 -0.84)29.1% (0.842 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-1.051 -1.05)65.02% (1.051 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 37.7%
    Swindon Town 35.41%
    Draw 26.88%
Newport CountyDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.175 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.293 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.183 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 37.7%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 9.96% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.41%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Newport
Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Newport
1-2
Swindon
Telford (74')
Demetriou (32'), Dolan (62')
Azaz (73' og.), Payne (88')
Gladwin (69'), Reed (82')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Lyden (57')
Minturn (19')

Missilou (21'), Hylton (53'), Upson (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Newport
2-0
Swindon
Sheehan (1'), Matt (49')
Matt (79'), King (90')

Grant (28'), Jaiyesimi (42'), Yates (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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