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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Doncaster Rovers

Swindon
1 - 2
Doncaster

Smith (75')
Clarke (28'), Butterworth (38'), Freckleton (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olowu (58'), Ironside (90+4' pen.)
Sharp (51'), Kelly (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-3 Swindon
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
36.55% (0.383 0.38) 24.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 38.79% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)
Both teams to score 59% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)44.04% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)66.42% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (0.163 0.16)23.77% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08% (0.237 0.24)57.92% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)22.6% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (-0.365 -0.37)56.21% (0.362 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 36.55%
    Doncaster Rovers 38.79%
    Draw 24.64%
Swindon TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.55%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.79%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Swindon
1-2
Doncaster
Glatzel (46')
Brewitt (12'), McEachran (30'), Devoy (44')
Biamou (10'), Adelakun (26')
Senior (50'), Lo-Tutala (79'), Olowu (84')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Doncaster
0-0
Swindon
Ironside (35'), McCann (35'), Westbrooke (39'), Senior (62'), Lawlor (69')
Rowe (45')
Khan (34'), Hutton (37'), Brewitt (67'), Austin (73')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Swindon
0-2
Doncaster
Molyneux (71', 73')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Swindon
1-2
Doncaster
Hope (73')
Conroy (64'), Thompson (66'), Curran (76')
Okenabirhie (5', 45+1')
Okenabirhie (33'), Simoes (52'), Butler (71'), James (85'), Greaves (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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