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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
County Ground
Newport County

Swindon
4 - 0
Newport

Tshimanga (4'), Glatzel (18'), Baker (21' og.), Cotterill (45')
Kilkenny (56')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-4 Port Vale
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
41.88% (0.205 0.2) 25.55% (-0.012 -0.01) 32.56% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)48.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.96% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (0.099999999999994 0.1)23.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93% (0.147 0.15)57.07% (-0.146 -0.15)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (-0.125 -0.13)28.41% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (-0.155 -0.16)64.16% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.88%
    Newport County 32.56%
    Draw 25.55%
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.63% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.56%

Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 31
Newport
2-1
Swindon
Evans (53'), Palmer-Houlden (74')
McLoughlin (3'), Bennett (39')
Glatzel (46')
Kokolo (51'), Devoy (72'), Bycroft (75'), Khan (77')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Swindon
2-0
Newport
Kemp (8'), Hepburn-Murphy (82')
Brewitt (36')
Feb 4, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 30
Newport
2-1
Swindon
Norman (54'), Kavanagh (78')
Adeloye (90+1')
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
0-1
Newport
Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
3Port Vale2010642619736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14BarrowBarrow207582018226
15Bromley195952323024
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
20Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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