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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Chesterfield |
41.69% ( 0.31) | 24.59% ( 0.11) | 33.71% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 58.67% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.74% ( -0.64) | 44.26% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.37% ( -0.62) | 66.63% ( 0.62) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.71% ( -0.13) | 21.29% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.78% ( -0.2) | 54.22% ( 0.2) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.53% ( -0.55) | 25.47% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.7% ( -0.76) | 60.3% ( 0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.69% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 24 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |