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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Gillingham

Swindon
3 - 3
Gillingham

Williams (1'), Austin (57' pen., 78')
Khan (41'), Brennan (69')
Khan (81')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Dieng (3'), Wright (9' pen.), Nichols (13')
Dieng (24'), Nichols (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 5-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Gillingham

 Given the form of Gillingham, their league placing currently matters little, and they will have full belief that they can secure three points on Saturday. However, with Swindon in solid form themselves, we feel a draw is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 13.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
65.97% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 20.87%13.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 43.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)50.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)14.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)42.51%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)48.56% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)83.64% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 65.95%
    Gillingham 13.16%
    Draw 20.87%
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.59%
2-0 @ 13.12%
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.1%
4-0 @ 4.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.21%
5-0 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 65.95%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.87%
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 13.16%

How you voted: Swindon vs Gillingham

Swindon Town
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Gillingham
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gillingham
0-0
Swindon

Mnoga (6')
Mnoga (10')

Williams (55')
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Swindon
1-3
Gillingham
Pitman (41')
Twine (76')
Oliver (59', 63'), Dempsey (68')
Ogilvie (47'), O'Keefe (76')
Dec 5, 2020 1pm
Gillingham
2-0
Swindon
Oliver (17'), Coyle (80')
Robertson (12'), McKenzie (62')

Payne (25'), Odimayo (42'), Conroy (53')
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
Swindon
3-1
Gillingham
Ince (56'), Obika (61'), Branco (75')
McDonald (10')
Wagstaff (94')
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
Gillingham
1-1
Swindon
Donnelly (71')
Ehmer (25'), Konchesky (54'), Wright (65'), Jackson (70')
Doughty (55' pen.)
Rodgers (31'), Barry (76'), Vigouroux (81'), Ormonde-Ottewill (90')
Ormonde-Ottewill (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
17Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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