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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Gillingham

Swindon
3 - 3
Gillingham

Williams (1'), Austin (57' pen., 78')
Khan (41'), Brennan (69')
Khan (81')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Dieng (3'), Wright (9' pen.), Nichols (13')
Dieng (24'), Nichols (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 5-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Gillingham

 Given the form of Gillingham, their league placing currently matters little, and they will have full belief that they can secure three points on Saturday. However, with Swindon in solid form themselves, we feel a draw is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 13.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
65.97% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 20.87%13.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 43.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)50.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)14.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)42.51%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)48.56% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)83.64% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 65.95%
    Gillingham 13.16%
    Draw 20.87%
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.59%
2-0 @ 13.12%
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.1%
4-0 @ 4.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.21%
5-0 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 65.95%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.87%
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 13.16%

How you voted: Swindon vs Gillingham

Swindon Town
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Gillingham
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gillingham
0-0
Swindon

Mnoga (6')
Mnoga (10')

Williams (55')
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Swindon
1-3
Gillingham
Pitman (41')
Twine (76')
Oliver (59', 63'), Dempsey (68')
Ogilvie (47'), O'Keefe (76')
Dec 5, 2020 1pm
Gillingham
2-0
Swindon
Oliver (17'), Coyle (80')
Robertson (12'), McKenzie (62')

Payne (25'), Odimayo (42'), Conroy (53')
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
Swindon
3-1
Gillingham
Ince (56'), Obika (61'), Branco (75')
McDonald (10')
Wagstaff (94')
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
Gillingham
1-1
Swindon
Donnelly (71')
Ehmer (25'), Konchesky (54'), Wright (65'), Jackson (70')
Doughty (55' pen.)
Rodgers (31'), Barry (76'), Vigouroux (81'), Ormonde-Ottewill (90')
Ormonde-Ottewill (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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