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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Swindon Town

Colchester
1 - 0
Swindon

Hannant (30')
Ashley (70'), Hannant (74'), Fevrier (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Khan (76'), MacDonald (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Swindon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 0-2 Swindon Town

Considering the form of the two teams and their current positions in the table, Swindon will be regarded as favourites to claim maximum points on New Year's Day. Colchester will be desperate to secure a much-needed victory as they bid to steer themselves clear of the drop zone, but the Robins should have enough quality in their side to get the job done and consolidate their place in the playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
30.54% (-0.023 -0.02) 26.22% (0.0030000000000001 0) 43.25% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.67% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)52.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74.02% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)31.51% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)67.9% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 30.54%
    Swindon Town 43.24%
    Draw 26.21%
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.54%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.7% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.24%

How you voted: Colchester vs Swindon

Colchester United
40.0%
Draw
6.7%
Swindon Town
53.3%
15
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Norris (74'), Robinson (85', 89')
Comley (35')
Jaiyesimi (48')
Edmonds-Green (70'), Hunt (73'), Baudry (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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