MX23RW : Sunday, January 12 12:00:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Gillingham

Stevenage
1 - 0
Gillingham

Piergianni (23')
Sweeney (34'), Gilbey (64'), Rose (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wright (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Crawley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Gillingham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 3-1 Gillingham

 Given the sides' respective forms heading into this one, Gillingham will fancy themselves to come away with all three points with relative ease. We fancy the hosts to get the job done and kick off 2023 on a winning note. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 11.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.47%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawGillingham
67.16% (0.206 0.21) 21.18% (-0.115 -0.11) 11.66% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 39.08% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19% (0.228 0.23)54.81% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (0.188 0.19)76.11% (-0.188 -0.19)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (0.145 0.14)15.53% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (0.26799999999999 0.27)44.46% (-0.266 -0.27)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)53.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.89% (-0.013 -0.01)87.11% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 67.16%
    Gillingham 11.66%
    Draw 21.18%
StevenageDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 15.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 14.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 8.98% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.18% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 67.16%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.18%
0-1 @ 5.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 11.66%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Gillingham

Stevenage
85.0%
Draw
5.0%
Gillingham
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gillingham
1-1
Stevenage
Baggott (40')
Rose (28')
Rose (39')
Sep 2, 2014 7.45pm
First Round
Stevenage
0-1
Gillingham

Day (17'), Henry (19')
Norris (17' pen.)
Dack (93')
Hoyte (64')
Feb 4, 2014 7.45pm
Stevenage
3-1
Gillingham
Zoko (22' pen.), Charles (30', 59')
Jones (49'), Charles (87')
McDonald (56')
Gregory (70'), Smith (79')
Hewitt (21')
> Match Report
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
Gillingham
3-2
Stevenage
Kedwell (47' pen.), Daniels (52'), Mousinho (76')
Heslop (37'), Zoko (60')
Hartley (84')
Feb 1, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Gillingham

Beardsley (18'), Foster (90')
Akinfenwa (50'), McDonald (45')
Gowling (27'), Maher (45'), Lawrence (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
14-28
Ravens
6pm
Broncos
@
Bills
9.30pm
Packers
@
Eagles
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!