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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Morecambe |
47.72% ( -0.16) | 25.9% ( 0.12) | 26.37% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.32% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.72% ( -0.45) | 53.28% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.17% ( -0.38) | 74.83% ( 0.39) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.67% ( -0.26) | 22.33% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.19% ( -0.39) | 55.81% ( 0.39) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.79% ( -0.21) | 35.21% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.04% ( -0.22) | 71.96% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 47.71% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
15 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |