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FA Cup
Tranmere Rovers
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Oldham Athletic

Tranmere
1 - 2
Oldham

Jennings (7')
Finley (31'), Turnbull (45+2'), Davies (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Norwood (37'), Uchegbulam (61')
Caprice (23'), Kitching (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Tranmere Rovers and Oldham Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 3-1 Tranmere
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Dag & Red
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-2 Oldham Athletic

 Despite being in the league below, Oldham are only nine places behind Tranmere in the football pyramid, and bring much more form and confidence into this one than their hosts. Recent years have shown that those at the top of the National League are often stronger than those struggling at the bottom of League Two, and that could be proven again here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oldham Athletic in this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawOldham Athletic
42.52% (0.035000000000004 0.04) 25.15% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 32.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.26% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.18% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.41% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (0.015999999999991 0.02)22.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (0.025999999999996 0.03)55.53% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)27.73% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)63.3% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 42.52%
    Oldham Athletic 32.32%
    Draw 25.15%
Tranmere RoversDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.32%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Oldham

Tranmere Rovers
36.8%
Draw
5.3%
Oldham Athletic
57.9%
19
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Tranmere
2-0
Oldham
Hawkes (27'), Hemmings (62')
Warrington (57'), O'Connor (68')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Oldham
0-1
Tranmere
Jolley (90')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Tranmere
3-2
Oldham
Glatzel (45+2', 75'), Maynard (55')
Dearnley (15', 43')
Clarke (41')
> Preview
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Oldham
2-2
Tranmere
(Aggregate 2-2 | Oldham win 4-3 on penalties)
Bahamboula (59'), Davies (68' og.)
Keillor-Dunn (55')
Foley (40'), Nevitt (51')
Foley (62')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
Tranmere
2-2
Oldham
MacDonald (42'), Woolery (51')
Clarke (8'), Woolery (44'), Lewis (90+4')
Keillor-Dunn (2'), Bahamboula (78')
Jombarti (8'), Keillor-Dunn (31'), Blackwood (87')
Jombarti (47')
rhs 2.0
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