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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Morecambe

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 0
Morecambe

Tilley (52'), Bugiel (66'), Stevens (70')
Lewis (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hendrie (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawMorecambe
58.91% (0.276 0.28) 22.95% (0.185 0.18) 18.14% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 48.74% (-1.395 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (-1.434 -1.43)50.09% (1.429 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (-1.291 -1.29)72.06% (1.285 1.29)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (-0.411 -0.41)16.68% (0.405 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44% (-0.736 -0.74)46.56% (0.73 0.73)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49% (-1.382 -1.38)41.5% (1.376 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22% (-1.239 -1.24)78% (1.234 1.23)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 58.9%
    Morecambe 18.14%
    Draw 22.95%
AFC WimbledonDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.54 0.54)
2-0 @ 11.1% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 58.9%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.392 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.14%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Morecambe

AFC Wimbledon
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Morecambe
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Morecambe
Bugiel (50')
Tilley (62')
Stokes (74')
Khumbeni (11'), J (42'), Tutonda (66'), Davenport (86'), Melbourne (90+2')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Morecambe
4-1
AFC Wimbledon
Mellon (46', 61' pen., 88'), Lewis (51' og.)
Adams (58'), Davenport (65'), Tutonda (79')
Little (72')
Bugiel (57')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
AFC Wimbledon
0-0
Morecambe
Marsh (83'), Ablade (90+1')
Wildig (58'), Leigh (65')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Morecambe
3-4
AFC Wimbledon
Stockton (49', 65'), McLoughlin (54')
Leigh (73'), Delaney (89')
Hartigan (5'), Chislett (61'), Nightingale (72'), Assal (90+4')
Mebude (25'), Lawrence (35'), Chislett (67'), Assal (90+5')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Morecambe
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Fleming (76'), Devitt (80' pen.)
Fleming (76')
Francomb (90')
Meades (72'), Reeves (82')
Sweeney (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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