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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Wrexham |
36.9% ( -0.02) | 26.94% ( -0.01) | 36.16% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.12% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.89% ( 0.03) | 54.11% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.47% ( 0.03) | 75.53% ( -0.02) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( 0) | 28.28% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36% ( 0) | 64% ( 0) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% ( 0.04) | 28.73% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.44% ( 0.05) | 64.56% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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