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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Wrexham |
36.78% ( 0.56) | 24.86% ( -0.11) | 38.36% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 58.27% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55% ( 0.57) | 45% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.65% ( 0.55) | 67.35% ( -0.54) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.91% ( 0.57) | 24.08% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.63% ( 0.81) | 58.37% ( -0.8) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( 0.03) | 23.25% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( 0.04) | 57.16% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.99% Total : 36.78% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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