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Championship header 2

League Two
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Accrington
2 - 0
Wrexham

Leigh (50' pen.), Longelo-Mbule (72')
Adedoyin (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Wrexham

 Wrexham may possess one of the worst attacking records away from home in the top half of the League Two table, but Parkinson's stingy defence should have no problems keeping an out-of-sorts Accrington team at bay. With injuries also rearing their ugly heads for the hosts, a replenished Wrexham crop boosted by the return of a well-rested Mullin should stroll to a sixth successive victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawWrexham
36.78% (0.561 0.56) 24.86% (-0.113 -0.11) 38.36% (-0.444 -0.44)
Both teams to score 58.27% (0.457 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.572 0.57)45% (-0.567 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.547 0.55)67.35% (-0.542 -0.54)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (0.572 0.57)24.08% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.63% (0.806 0.81)58.37% (-0.802 -0.8)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (0.028000000000006 0.03)23.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (0.038000000000004 0.04)57.16% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 36.78%
    Wrexham 38.36%
    Draw 24.85%
Accrington StanleyDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 36.78%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.36%

How you voted: Accrington vs Wrexham

Accrington Stanley
16.0%
Draw
24.0%
Wrexham
60.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Roberts (90' pen.)
Evans (20')
Pejic (7' og.), Cavanagh (28'), Whalley (72')
Craney (20'), Whalley (72'), Cavanagh (73')
Oct 5, 2007 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Wrexham

Webb (84')
Roberts (37', 66')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Johnson (45')
Crowell (13'), Valentine (36'), Evans (55')
Brown (83', 86'), Mullin (17')
Harris (30')
Sep 13, 2006 3pm
Accrington
5-0
Wrexham
Cavanagh (55'), Roberts (52', 67'), Craney (49'), Mullin (41')
Cavanagh (30')

Valentine (81'), Llewellyn (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall22154341192249
2AFC Wimbledon22114733181537
3Notts County22107535241137
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310763227537
5Port Vale2310762724337
6Grimsby Town23121103334-137
7Salford City2210662619736
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe229942619736
9Chesterfield2397737271034
10Bradford CityBradford229762824434
11MK Dons219483429531
12Bromley2271053126531
13Gillingham2293102221130
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham238693436-230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2251252623327
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood216962726127
17BarrowBarrow227692122-127
18Newport CountyNewport2275102938-926
19Tranmere RoversTranmere215791630-1422
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2364131935-1622
21Swindon TownSwindon2349102837-921
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2147102738-1119
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2246121734-1718
24Morecambe2345142039-1917
> League Two Full Table


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