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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 1-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Colchester United |
63.61% ( -0.02) | 19.12% ( 0) | 17.27% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.03% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.64% ( 0.02) | 34.36% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.72% ( 0.02) | 56.27% ( -0.02) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.7% ( 0) | 10.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.3% ( 0) | 33.7% ( -0) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.92% ( 0.03) | 33.07% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.33% ( 0.03) | 69.67% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Colchester United |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.38% 3-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.32% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.91% 5-0 @ 1.72% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 4.21% Total : 63.61% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.12% | 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 17.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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