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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Wrexham |
28.27% ( -0.24) | 23.62% ( -0.37) | 48.11% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 59.24% ( 1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.74% ( 1.51) | 42.25% ( -1.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.34% ( 1.5) | 64.66% ( -1.5) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.03% ( 0.6) | 27.97% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.39% ( 0.76) | 63.6% ( -0.77) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.25% ( 0.82) | 17.75% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.56% ( 1.41) | 48.43% ( -1.42) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.27% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.34) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.76% Total : 48.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 30 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
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