Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
62.72% ( -5.21) | 20.69% ( 1.87) | 16.59% ( 3.35) |
Both teams to score 52.84% ( 2.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.96% ( -1.47) | 43.04% ( 1.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.56% ( -1.47) | 65.44% ( 1.47) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.88% ( -1.88) | 13.12% ( 1.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.23% ( -3.97) | 39.77% ( 3.97) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.82% ( 3.67) | 39.17% ( -3.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.11% ( 3.28) | 75.88% ( -3.27) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
2-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.9) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 7.18% ( -1.21) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.38) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.94) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.47) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.52) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.31) Other @ 3.17% Total : 62.71% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.86) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.52) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.69% | 0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.74) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.8) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.53) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.36) Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 8 | 53 | 59 |
2 | RangersRangers | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
8 | Dundee | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 26 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | St Johnstone | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |