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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Aberdeen logo

St Johnstone
1 - 2
Aberdeen

Molloy (88' og.)
Raymond (8'), Essel (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Devlin (22'), McGrath (62')
Ambrose (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 5-1 East Fife
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 6-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: St Johnstone 1-1 Aberdeen

Both impressing in the early stages of the League Cup, it is hard to predict who will come out on top on the opening weekend of the Premiership campaign. St Johnstone have the advantage of their home crowd to roar them on, but we feel that Aberdeen's quality will be enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawAberdeen
25.65% (-0.697 -0.7) 26.95% (-0.194 -0.19) 47.4% (0.889 0.89)
Both teams to score 46.75% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.37% (0.259 0.26)57.63% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.6% (0.204 0.2)78.4% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.46 -0.46)38.2% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.03% (-0.447 -0.45)74.97% (0.446 0.45)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65% (0.54100000000001 0.54)24.35% (-0.542 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25% (0.761 0.76)58.75% (-0.76300000000001 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 25.65%
    Aberdeen 47.4%
    Draw 26.95%
St JohnstoneDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-1 @ 6.08% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 25.65%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 9.3% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 13.14% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 9.28% (0.197 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
0-3 @ 4.37% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.21% (0.102 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.54% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.4%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Aberdeen

St Johnstone
23.6%
Draw
20.8%
Aberdeen
55.6%
72
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Aberdeen
1-0
St Johnstone
Miovski (68' pen.)
Hoilett (83')

Considine (45'), MacPherson (77')
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Aberdeen
0-2
St Johnstone
Clark (44' pen.), Mbunga-Kimpioka (77')
Sprangler (60'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (78'), Kucheriavyi (88'), Phillips (90+3')
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
St Johnstone
1-1
Aberdeen
Keltjens (78')
Smith (61'), Keltjens (90+6'), Carey (90+2'), Gordon (90+4')
Miovski (62' pen.)
Rubezic (84')
Oct 8, 2023 3pm
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock184681935-1618
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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