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Scottish Premiership
St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 15
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Hearts logo

St Mirren
2 - 1
Hearts

Taylor (8' og.), Olusanya (34')
Olusanya (13'), Brown (40'), Boyd-Munce (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Halkett (18')
Kingsley (33'), Grant (44'), Shankland (85'), Baningime (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-1 Hearts

 Neither side is in great stead heading into this game, both currently enduring lengthy winless spells across all competitions. While St Mirren have fared better than the visitors this term, Hearts have an undeniably positive record in this fixture, suggesting that this match is likely to end in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawHearts
40.04% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 25.53% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 34.43% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.58% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.67% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)48.33% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52% (-0.149 -0.15)70.47% (0.146 0.15)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-0.12400000000001 -0.12)23.87% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (-0.176 -0.18)58.06% (0.174 0.17)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)26.98% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)62.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 40.04%
    Hearts 34.43%
    Draw 25.52%
St MirrenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.04%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.53% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.43%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Hearts

St Mirren
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Hearts
37.5%
24
Head to Head
May 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
St Mirren
2-2
Hearts
Scott (7'), Bolton (65')
Tagawa (20'), Shankland (73')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
St Mirren
1-2
Hearts
Olusanya (68')
Tanser (82')
Grant (33' pen.), Mandron (62' og.)
Tait (45+3'), Sibbick (62')
> Preview
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Hearts
2-0
St Mirren
Shankland (33', 49')
Atkinson (66'), Halkett (78')

Gogic (2'), Tanser (22'), Boyd-Munce (76')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
St Mirren
1-0
Hearts
Strain (7')
Baccus (24'), Olusanya (25')

Rowles (24')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
St Mirren
2-2
Hearts
Shaughnessy (36'), Strain (45+4')
Taylor (23'), Kiltie (29')
Ginnelly (73'), Shankland (90+6' pen.)
Rowles (17'), Naismith (18'), Devlin (44'), Atkinson (65'), Kiomourtzoglou (80')
Haring (77')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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