Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
40.04% ( -0.1) | 25.53% ( 0.04) | 34.43% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.58% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.67% ( -0.16) | 48.33% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.52% ( -0.15) | 70.47% ( 0.15) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% ( -0.12) | 23.87% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.93% ( -0.18) | 58.06% ( 0.17) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% ( -0.04) | 26.98% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.66% ( -0.06) | 62.33% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |