Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.74%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.