Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 67.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
67.78% ( -0.91) | 16.9% ( 0.36) | 15.32% ( 0.55) |
Both teams to score 64.26% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.87% ( -0.64) | 27.13% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.35% ( -0.81) | 47.65% ( 0.81) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.58% ( -0.34) | 7.42% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.27% ( -0.88) | 26.72% ( 0.88) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.41% ( 0.2) | 30.59% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.18% ( 0.23) | 66.82% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.58% Total : 67.78% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 16.9% | 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.13% Total : 15.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |