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Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Dec 7, 2024 at 7am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Adelaide United

Newcastle Jets
0 - 1
Adelaide United


Susnjar (53'), Cancar (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mauk (14')
Kikianis (27'), Delianov (89')
Folami (64')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auckland FC 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, November 30 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-2 Perth Glory
Friday, November 29 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.46%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawAdelaide United
27.08% (-1.219 -1.22) 20.48% (-0.314 -0.31) 52.44% (1.536 1.54)
Both teams to score 69.89% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.09% (0.571 0.57)27.92% (-0.57 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.36% (0.707 0.71)48.64% (-0.704 -0.7)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (-0.428 -0.43)21.32% (0.429 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.73% (-0.666 -0.67)54.27% (0.667 0.67)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.83% (0.623 0.62)11.17% (-0.62 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.34% (1.345 1.35)35.66% (-1.342 -1.34)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 27.08%
    Adelaide United 52.44%
    Draw 20.48%
Newcastle JetsDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-0 @ 3.68% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 2.85% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 27.08%
1-1 @ 8.07% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-2 @ 6.83% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-3 @ 2.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 2.38% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 20.48%
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.46% (0.179 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.091 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.99% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.169 0.17)
1-4 @ 3.54% (0.183 0.18)
2-4 @ 2.74% (0.107 0.11)
0-4 @ 2.29% (0.147 0.15)
1-5 @ 1.55% (0.116 0.12)
3-4 @ 1.41% (0.037 0.04)
2-5 @ 1.2% (0.076 0.08)
0-5 @ 1% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 52.44%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 21
Newcastle Jets
0-1
Adelaide United

Aquilina (5'), Ingham (33'), Mauragis (90+6')
Jovanovic (80')
Warland (12'), Clough (25'), Mauk (27'), Sanchez (60'), Alagich (67')
Dec 22, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 9
Adelaide United
3-1
Newcastle Jets
Ibusuki (14'), Clough (68' pen.), Halloran (70')
Irankunda (76')
Vidic (89')
Ingham (9'), Stamatelopoulos (14')
Mar 11, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 20
Newcastle Jets
2-4
Adelaide United
Hoffman (16'), Thurgate (45+3')
Goodwin (12'), Clough (14'), Jovanovic (44'), Irankunda (65')
Dec 27, 2022 9.15am
Mar 13, 2022 8.15am
Gameweek 18
Adelaide United
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Blackwood (3'), Toure (88')
Kitto (15'), Juande (37'), Irankunda (78'), Toure (89')
Thurgate (65')
rhs 2.0
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