Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 59.79%. A win for Western United had a probability of 20.65% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 3-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (5.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Adelaide United in this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
59.79% ( 1.43) | 19.56% ( -0.27) | 20.65% ( -1.15) |
Both teams to score 65.01% ( -0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.2% ( -0.3) | 30.8% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.85% ( -0.36) | 52.15% ( 0.36) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.8% ( 0.26) | 10.19% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.53% ( 0.6) | 33.47% ( -0.6) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.39% ( -1.15) | 27.61% ( 1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.85% ( -1.5) | 63.14% ( 1.5) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.59% Total : 59.79% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.41% Total : 19.56% | 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.49% Total : 20.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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