Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
48.94% ( 1.1) | 21.16% ( 0.01) | 29.89% ( -1.11) |
Both teams to score 69.57% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.77% ( -0.71) | 29.22% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.75% ( -0.87) | 50.25% ( 0.87) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.36% ( 0.08) | 12.63% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.23% ( 0.16) | 38.77% ( -0.16) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% ( -0.95) | 20.37% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.22% ( -1.54) | 52.78% ( 1.53) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.11) 3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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