Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Mustapha Tchaker
Algeria2 - 0Eq Guinea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Uganda 1-2 Algeria
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Malawi
Monday, June 10 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Monday, June 10 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Algeria 2-1 Equatorial Guinea
Algeria are gradually rebuilding their team under the new coach – their recent performance hinted at a promising future, while they also have an ongoing unbeaten streak in AFCON qualification. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 71.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.53%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
71.63% ( -0.05) | 19.12% ( 0.02) | 9.25% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 36.83% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
