Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.