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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Gateshead

Altrincham
2 - 3
Gateshead

Newby (16'), Mooney (53')
Wilson (32'), Banks (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dinanga (50'), Evans (57'), Adom (73')
Worman (30'), Richardson (81'), Adom (85'), Adom (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Altrincham and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-1 Altrincham
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Gateshead
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 2-1 Gateshead

There is very little between the two teams in the league table and that should lead to a close and competitive fixture this weekend. Playing at home will provide Altrincham with a slight advantage and that could be the difference maker in this important match in the fight for promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
AltrinchamDrawGateshead
41.13% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 23.12% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35.75% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 64.63% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.32% (0.012999999999998 0.01)36.68% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.16% (0.012999999999998 0.01)58.84% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.47%
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.012999999999991 0.01)20.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (0.016999999999996 0.02)53.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 41.13%
    Gateshead 35.75%
    Draw 23.12%
AltrinchamDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 41.13%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.75%

How you voted: Altrincham vs Gateshead

Altrincham
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Gateshead
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Gateshead
0-2
Altrincham

McBride (23'), Booty (45+2'), Mair (90+3'), Pani (90+6'), Francis (90+3'), Pani (90+6')
Amaluzor (47'), Donawa (90+2')
Amaluzor (26'), Osborne (28')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Gateshead
1-3
Altrincham
Bailey (3')
Conn-Clarke (12'), Dinanga (32'), Malone (70')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Altrincham
2-3
Gateshead
Hancock (30'), Mooney (79')
Langstaff (22', 90+1'), Ward (57')
Ward (44')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Gateshead
2-2
Altrincham
Campbell (47'), Olley (79')
Olley (27'), Ward (35')
Dinanga (83'), Moult (90+5')
Whitehead (40'), Digie (76'), Mullarkey (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City23146347202748
2Barnet23153547262148
3Forest Green RoversForest Green22137240182246
4Gateshead23135545281744
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale21113731191236
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2310584236635
8Halifax TownHalifax239862623335
9AltrinchamAltrincham239773730734
10Yeovil TownYeovil2310492825334
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool238962625133
12Eastleigh228863028232
13Sutton UnitedSutton239593029132
14Tamworth228592538-1329
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red227783529628
16Southend UnitedSouthend236982427-327
17Woking2366112133-1224
18WealdstoneWealdstone225892732-523
19Aldershot TownAldershot2358103240-823
20Fylde2364132847-1922
21Braintree TownBraintree2355131933-1420
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2355132745-1820
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2316161754-379


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