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National League | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Gateshead

Tamworth
2 - 1
Gateshead

Tshikuna (24'), Creaney (73')
Creaney (48'), Morrison (63'), Cullinane-Liburd (79'), Acquaye (81'), Fairlamb (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Whelan (90+5')
Radcliffe (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Tamworth and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halifax 3-2 Tamworth
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

We said: Tamworth 0-1 Gateshead

Despite the loss of their first-team manager to League One Crawley, Gateshead still have enough leadership and knowhow in their ranks to collect points whilst the search for a permanent coach rumbles on. Tamworth are sliding down the table once again after a promising period in September, and we expect the Lambs to suffer a third consecutive defeat on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
TamworthDrawGateshead
29.01% (0.76 0.76) 24.39% (-0.245 -0.25) 46.6% (-0.512 -0.51)
Both teams to score 57.1% (1.359 1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (1.544 1.54)45.31% (-1.542 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.35% (1.46 1.46)67.65% (-1.458 -1.46)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (1.337 1.34)29.01% (-1.334 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08% (1.622 1.62)64.92% (-1.619 -1.62)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (0.408 0.41)19.56% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.53% (0.657 0.66)51.47% (-0.653 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 29.01%
    Gateshead 46.6%
    Draw 24.39%
TamworthDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.149 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.01%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.193 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.383 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.502 -0.5)
0-2 @ 7.56% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-3 @ 5.09% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.11% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.045 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 46.6%

How you voted: Tamworth vs Gateshead

Tamworth
11.3%
Draw
17.7%
Gateshead
71.0%
62
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288


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