Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Gateshead in this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Boston United |
66.89% ( -0.13) | 19.12% ( 0.06) | 13.99% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.79% ( -0.13) | 41.21% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.39% ( -0.13) | 63.61% ( 0.13) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.59% ( -0.07) | 11.41% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.82% ( -0.16) | 36.18% ( 0.16) |
Boston United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.49% ( 0.02) | 41.51% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.99% ( 0.01) | 78.01% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Boston United |
2-0 @ 11.15% 1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 66.88% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.12% | 0-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 13.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 31 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
22 | Fylde | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 18 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 44 | -29 | 9 |
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