Ararat-Armenia

3 - 1

Zimbru

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Zimbru win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ararat-Armenia would win this match.