Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 4pm UK
Armenia Football Academy grass
Ararat-Armenia3 - 1Zimbru
Yenne (28'), Serobyan (68' pen.), Duarte (88')
Nondi (5'), Harutyunyan (65')
Nondi (5'), Harutyunyan (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chigozirim Ohajunwa (62')
Alaribe (75'), Lucian (77')
Alaribe (75'), Lucian (77')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Ararat-Armenia and Zimbru.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zimbru 0-3 Ararat-Armenia
Thursday, July 25 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 25 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 11.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Zimbru win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ararat-Armenia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ararat-Armenia | Draw | Zimbru |
69.16% ( 0.03) | 19.37% ( -0.01) | 11.47% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.55% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
