Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
36.21% ( -1.05) | 27.45% ( 0.08) | 36.33% ( 0.97) |
Both teams to score 49.49% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.84% ( -0.27) | 56.15% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.78% ( -0.22) | 77.21% ( 0.22) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.31% ( -0.77) | 29.69% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.26% ( -0.95) | 65.74% ( 0.94) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.38% ( 0.47) | 29.61% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% ( 0.57) | 65.65% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.21% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |