Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Annan Athletic |
39.48% ( -0.53) | 24.64% ( 0.01) | 35.88% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 58.97% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.94% ( 0.04) | 44.06% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.56% ( 0.04) | 66.44% ( -0.04) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.74% ( -0.24) | 22.27% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.29% ( -0.37) | 55.71% ( 0.37) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.86% ( 0.32) | 24.14% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.55% ( 0.44) | 58.45% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Annan Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 35.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |