Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
32.15% (![]() | 24.07% (![]() | 43.77% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.67% (![]() | 42.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.27% (![]() | 64.73% (![]() |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% (![]() | 25.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.69% (![]() | 60.31% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% (![]() | 19.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.54% (![]() | 51.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 7.6% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.15% | 1-1 @ 11.11% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 9.07% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 3.15% Total : 43.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 40 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 38 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 38 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 34 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 31 |
7 | Montrose | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 30 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 27 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 22 |
10 | Dumbarton | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |