Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.