Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.